Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 11.194539 12.915522 14.755796 16.863634 19.204552 21.717993 24.613991
2025-01-12 9.012869 11.268506 13.830450 16.933658 20.567585 24.664820 29.609186
2025-01-19 7.541763 10.099125 13.154869 17.029599 21.763056 27.307380 34.238533
2025-01-26 6.630493 9.424590 12.911548 17.506073 23.317250 30.336284 39.360145
2025-02-02 5.867197 8.810391 12.631519 17.841676 24.635156 33.061021 44.154663
2025-02-09 5.127949 8.120837 12.156294 17.838620 25.459338 35.142504 48.168221
2025-02-16 4.277200 7.164955 11.215498 17.110426 25.244266 35.831381 50.377508
2025-02-23 3.725713 6.569893 10.704161 16.899828 25.663920 37.311246 53.606039
2025-03-02 3.202532 5.951203 10.093074 16.483408 25.745825 38.306011 56.185369
2025-03-09 2.818136 5.502607 9.685985 16.315350 26.139046 39.703546 59.312873
2025-03-16 2.434774 5.007281 9.158293 15.918530 26.162019 40.563906 61.704328
2025-03-23 2.201087 4.738459 8.958964 15.995581 26.861644 42.372672 65.433451
2025-03-30 1.957661 4.425619 8.664653 15.907435 27.312652 43.848411 68.753466
2025-04-06 1.792530 4.236567 8.557586 16.102816 28.190162 45.953966 73.010578
2025-04-13 1.636759 4.045492 8.428486 16.247569 28.985127 47.951454 77.153081
2025-04-20 1.547607 3.975576 8.503491 16.728417 30.316120 50.769845 82.543636
2025-04-27 1.444969 3.864885 8.494313 17.061109 31.416905 53.266278 87.514261
2025-05-04 1.308220 3.663669 8.301064 17.061806 31.975697 54.950519 91.317212
2025-05-11 1.102529 3.279838 7.729329 16.360513 31.350112 54.795173 92.363431
2025-05-18 0.976541 3.058865 7.450127 16.157881 31.530877 55.875702 95.275156
2025-05-25 0.844976 2.802959 7.076897 15.756350 31.351557 56.376387 97.304235
2025-06-01 0.750367 2.623626 6.842404 15.594319 31.566812 57.496159 100.294795
2025-06-08 0.647935 2.405333 6.504533 15.211599 31.376572 57.952404 102.257357